Stocks Moving Mostly Higher Following Housing Data - U.S. Commentary - RTT News Stocks Moving Mostly Higher Following Housing Data - U.S. Commentary - RTT News

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Stocks Moving Mostly Higher Following Housing Data - U.S. Commentary - RTT News

Stocks Moving Mostly Higher Following Housing Data - U.S. Commentary - RTT News

5/22/2012 11:13 AM ET
(RTTNews) - Stocks have moved mostly higher over the course of morning trading on Tuesday, adding to the strong gains posted in the previous session. The major averages have climbed more firmly into positive territory after showing a lack of direction earlier in the session.

The markets have benefited from a positive reaction to a report from the National Association of Realtors showing an increase in existing home sales. Traders also continue to pick up stocks at reduced levels following the sell-off seen in recent weeks.

Banking stocks are posting particularly strong gains in late morning trading, resulting in a 2.6 percent jump by the KBW Bank Index. Financial giants JP Morgan (JPM), Citigroup (C) and Bank of America (BAC) are turning in some of the sector's best performances.

Significant strength has also emerged among housing stocks, which have moved sharply higher on the heels of the existing home sales data. The Philadelphia Housing Sector Index is up by 2.5 percent, climbing further off last Friday's one-month closing low.

Brokerage, railroad, natural gas, and health insurance stocks have also shown strong moves to the upside, while some electronic storage stocks are bucking the uptrend.

The major averages have moved roughly sideways in recent trading, hovering near their highs for the session. The Dow is up 60.74 points or 0.5 percent at 12,565.21, the Nasdaq is up 17.38 points or 0.6 percent at 2,864.59 and the S&P 500 is up 11.30 points or 0.9 percent at 1,327.29.

by RTT Staff Writer

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Real Gold Price Holds the Cards for Gold Bullion and Gold Stocks -

Stock Market Short-term Forecasts - Free Access

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012 May 22, 2012 - 10:06 AM

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne


Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe often write about the real price of gold (RPG) as it is a leading macro indicator and leading indicator for gold stock fundamentals. The RPG is simply a measurement of Gold in terms of various markets such as commodities, stocks or currencies. If the RPG is broadly outperforming then it could be signaling credit stress and even an economic contraction. If equities and commodities are outperforming Gold then it signals an improving economic environment and an improving credit environment. We also note that a strengthening RPG in itself is a catalyst for improving margins for gold miners. Furthermore, since a rising RPG is a contractionary signal, it can also be a catalyst for Fed action. The RPG appears to have bottomed and looks likely to trend higher in the coming months.

Note that during the financial crisis of 2008, the real price of gold began rising several months before gold itself. In the chart below we plot gold, gold/commodities, gold/foreign currencies, and gold/stocks. gold/commodities bottomed in June while gold bottomed relative to both currencies and stocks in September. Turning to the present, we see that gold/commodities has maintained an uptrend during a corrective period while gold priced in foreign currencies has rebounded from support and while gold relative to stocks may have just bottomed.

As we’ve written many times, the RPG can be a leading indicator for the miners. Below we show the HUI/gold ratio, the HUI, the gold/oil ratio and gold/industrial metals ratio. Note that significant advances in the gold/oil and gold/metals ratios initiated two strong cyclical bull moves in the gold stocks from 2001-2003 and from 2008 into 2011. If those ratios rise to new highs then it would definitely signal the inception of a new cyclical bull in the gold stocks.

While the RPG surged into the 2011 Euro crisis, it wasn’t sustained as the crisis abated and there was no real threat to the economy. However, at present, the RPG is starting to move higher as the Euro crisis intensifies and as economic data continues to disappoint. If these troubles are only temporary then gold stocks will remain in a cyclical bear market. However, if these troubles persist through the summer and into the fall then they should kick-start the next cyclical bull market in the gold equities and a move in Gold to $2000/oz. The reason is simple. Persistent credit stress and a weakening economy will require more Fed action and action from the ECB.

The former is painful as it creates volatility and liquidation events but it also creates opportunities. We saw it in 2008 and we are seeing it now. With regards to the gold shares, proper stock selection is paramount as select stocks will dramatically outperform GDX and GDXJ, even as they recover. GDX recovered more than 300% in a little more than two years. Sounds fantastic right?

Check out the gains from producers over a two and a half year period. These were producers and not exploration or development companies. Now we are not implying that these numbers will be duplicated from 2012-2014 but it is certainly possible since many stocks will be starting from low levels. Simply put, the growth-oriented producers offer the best risk-reward and we urge you to focus the bulk of your capital on this segment of the market rather than speculating on risky exploration stocks. If you’d be interested in professional guidance in this endeavour, then we invite you to learn more about our service.

If you'd like professional guidance in this endeavour then we invite you to learn more about our premium service.

Good Luck!

Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT
Subscription Service

Trendsman” is an affiliate member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA) and is enrolled in their CMT Program, which certifies professionals in the field of technical analysis. He will be taking the final exam in Spring 07. Trendsman focuses on technical analysis but analyzes fundamentals and investor psychology in tandem with the charts. He credits his success to an immense love of the markets and an insatiable thirst for knowledge and profits.

© 2005-2012 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


German stocks - Factors to watch on May 22 - Reuters

FRANKFURT | Tue May 22, 2012 2:20am EDT

FRANKFURT May 22 (Reuters) - The DAX top-30 index looked set to open 0.6 percent higher on Tuesday, according to premarket data from brokerage Lang & Schwarz at 0617 GMT.

The following are some of the factors that may move German stocks:


Indicated 0.9 percent higher

Slovakia's Economy Minister Tomas Malatinsky said the government should sell its 49 percent stake in telecommunications company Slovak Telekom, run by Deutsche Telekom, according to Slovak paper Sme.

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Indicated 0.2 percent higher

The dialysis company's top rival in the United States, US. operator or dialysis clinics DaVita Inc, struck a $4.42 billion deal to buy HealthCare Partners, an operator of physician practices.

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Indicated 0.7 percent higher

France's Veolia has asked a German court to grant a temporary injunction to stop RWE from selling its stake in water company Berlinwasser back to Berlin, German media reported.

Separately, British subsidiary RWE Trading has appointed Chris Roberts and Ravi Khosla as joint heads of its coal department, sources close to the company said on Monday.

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Indicated 0.2 percent higher

Polish broadcaster TVN may seal the sale of its Internet arm onet to Axel Springer and Ringier later this week, Polish paper Rzeczpospolita reported.

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Indicated 2.2 percent higher

The German builder's Australian unit Leighton said it sees a strong project pipeline ahead despite comments from major miners that they may cut spending on big new projects to conserve capital in an uncertain environment.

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SMA SOLAR - Proposed dividend 1.30 eur/shr


Dow Jones +1.1 pct, S&P 500 +1.6 pct, Nasdaq +2.5 pct at Monday's close.

Nikkei +1.1 pct at Tuesday's close.


German chemicals and real estate conglomerate Evonik may delay a possible initial public offering, as the euro zone debt crisis continues to roil markets, majority owner the RAG foundation signalled late Monday.

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REUTERS TOP NEWS (Reporting by Edward Taylor and Maria Sheahan)

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