Last updated: June 15, 2012 5:10 pm
Throwing money at banks won't solve economic crisis, Ed Balls says - The Guardian
Ed Balls has warned that an emergency multibillion-pound package to inject lending into the British economy still fails to address the lack of economic confidence and demand. The shadow chancellor said the Bank of England's thinking still seemed to be driven by Montagu Norman, the governor who led it through the depression of the 1930s.
He said the measures announced on Thursday night at the Mansion House in London by the chancellor, George Osborne, and the bank's governor, Mervyn King, should have been implemented two years ago and would not work if businesses were not investing.
Osborne warned that the "debt storm" on the continent had left the UK and the rest of Europe facing their most serious economic crisis outside wartime. In a joint proposal between the Bank of England and the Treasury, banks will receive cut-price funds, provided they pass on the benefits to their business customers.
This new "funding for lending" scheme could provide an £80bn boost to loans to the private sector within weeks and alleviate growing fears of a second slump since the start of the financial crisis in 2007.
In a second scheme, within the next few days the bank will begin pumping a minimum of £5bn a month into City institutions to improve their liquidity.
Balls told Sky News: "Simply giving the banks billions of pounds doesn't translate into loans to business. If business is not investing and creating jobs and if our economy is not growing, that's the fundamental problem, and I've said consistently for two years that you can't do this simply by throwing money at the banks.
"You've got to accept that the fiscal plans of the chancellor haven't worked, they've backfired, they've taken us back into recession."
Speaking on BBC Radio 4's Today programme, Balls compared the government's fiscal policy to the 1930s depression era: "It failed then and it's failing now".
He said the announcements were a clear sign that the bank was worried. He did not dismiss the injection of cash for lending in principle, but argued that fiscal, as opposed to monetary policy was critical to recovery, pointing out that, apart from Italy, the UK was the only country in the G20 in recession.
The government has described the plans as an attempt to stretch its "plan A" to the limit. There has been concern from some banks that the plan does not change the dynamic as they will be expected to take the risk on the loans.
The treasury minister Mark Hoban told Today that the government's fiscal tightening had had no impact on growth. He said taxpayers' money would not be at risk as a result of the £80bn bank credit scheme.
Conservative MP Andrew Tyrie, chairman of the Commons treasury select committee, welcomed the plans: "The measures look as if they will encourage lending to businesses by ensuring liquidity is more easily available to banks."
Balls said: "The Bank of England's new funding for lending scheme is a significant admission that the government's existing policies have failed. Businesses will be desperately hoping it is more successful than George Osborne's Project Merlin and credit-easing schemes which have actually seen net lending to businesses fall."
He said Osborne's speech was dangerously complacent. "He is sticking with policies that have choked off the recovery, pushed up unemployment and are leading to £150bn of extra borrowing."
Balls also attacked Osborne over his remarks about a possible Greek exit from the eurozone.
"I was at the Mansion House last night and there was a frisson around the room when our chancellor started openly talking about whether Greece should leave the eurozone. I do not think that is a very wise or sensible thing to do," he told BBC Breakfast.
"I think Greece has got to sort out its issues – and that is a matter for Greece. What I am really worried about in the eurozone is that countries like Spain or Italy – which are huge, to which we as a country are very exposed – they have not sorted out their problems.
"Unless we get a global growth plan going, including in the eurozone, you can't turn this round. I am afraid that our government seems to be urging the wrong actions in Europe as it takes the wrong actions here in Britain too."
The shadow chancellor pointed out that Osborne had "snuck out another U-turn" in his speech, in particular to the objectives of the new financial policy committee at the bank.
"Labour and business organisations like the CBI have been calling for the new financial policy committee to have supporting economic growth as one of its key objectives. The chancellor voted against our amendment on this but in the face of an imminent defeat in the House of Lords he has now backed down."
Morning business round-up: ECB ready to act 'if necessary' - BBC News
What made the business news in Asia and Europe this morning? Here's our daily business round-up:
Continue reading the main storyThe European Central Bank (ECB) said it is ready to provide further support ''if necessary'' to the eurozone's banking system.
Its president Mario Draghi said: "The eurosystem will continue to supply liquidity to solvent banks where needed."
A general election in Greece on Sunday has heightened fears of further instability on financial markets.
Greece saw a major retailer, France's Carrefour, pull out of the country.
The French retail giant said it was selling its stake in its Greek joint venture owing to fears about Greece's deteriorating economic situation.
It is selling to partner Marinopoulos, and will take a financial charge of about 220m euros (£179m; $278m) on the deal.
In a statement, the company said the move was in response to "challenges posed by the Greek economic context".
Carrefour's shares rose 1.68% following the announcement.
Still in Europe, new EU car registrations slumped.
Demand for new passenger cars fell sharply across the European Union in May, reflecting weak consumer confidence in the wake of the financial crisis.
The European Automobile Manufacturers' Association said new car registrations totalled 1,106,845 vehicles, down 8.7% compared to the same month last year.
France led the decline with a 16.2% market contraction, closely followed by Italy, which fell 14.3%.
Only the UK market grew, rising 7.9%.
Meanwhile, in the UK, its central bank acted to try to boost confidence and lending against a backdrop of failing business nerve in the face of the eurocrisis.
UK bank shares jumped on the stimulus move.
The Bank of England's plan, announced late on Thursday, came in response to the worsening economic outlook, its governor Sir Mervyn King said.
Together with the government, it will provide billions of pounds of cheap credit to banks to lend to companies.
To Asia now, where Coca-Cola announced it would start business again in Burma.
It has been 60 years since it last operated there and its return follows a US decision to suspend investment sanctions against the country.
Officials suspended the sanctions last month as the country has moved towards democratic reforms.
Coca-Cola is waiting for a licence from the US government.
The country was one of only three that Coca-Cola does not do business with.
And as Burma opens up to international business, the latest Business Daily podcast reports from Rangoon, and asks if Burma is set to become a new Asian Tiger, or whether the legacy of 50 years of mismanagement is too great an obstacle.
Stocks at 1-month high; now investors watch Greece - Seattle Times
Stocks recorded their third big gain of the week and closed at a one-month high Friday because of expectations that the central banks of countries around the world will step in to limit the damage from a debt crisis in Europe.
The Dow Jones industrial average climbed 115 points.
Now investors wait for a crucial election on Sunday in Greece that will help determine whether that country stops using the euro as its currency. Such an exit would destabilize financial markets.
Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, said his institution stood ready to support Europe's banking system by continuing to lend money to solvent banks. He also appeared to leave open the possibility of an interest rate cut.
Draghi said in Frankfurt that the ECB has a "crucial role" in extending credit to banks in times of instability, when banks can't always borrow money on financial markets.
On Thursday, Reuters reported that ECB, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and other global financial authorities were ready to act in concert to limit the fallout from Greece.
Investors also are more confident about the election itself, said Peter Tuz, a money manager, at Chase Investment Counsel, which runs mutual funds.
"There's a growing sense of optimism," he said. "The betting now is that the `let's stay in the euro' segment of the population will win."
Borrowing costs for Spain were unchanged. They fell slightly for Italy, an indication that investors are feeling a little better about that country's solvency. They have been worried that Italy will have to seek financial rescue.
The Dow rose 115.26 points to close at 12,767.17, its highest finish since May 11. The Standard & Poor's 500 index climbed 13.74 points to 1,342.84, also its highest since May 11. The Nasdaq composite index rose 36.47 points to 2,872.80.
For the week, the Dow rose 0.9 percent, the S&P 1 percent and the Nasdaq 1.3 percent.
The week included four moves of 100 points or more for the Dow, the first time that has happened since April:
- On Monday, the Dow lost 142 points as enthusiasm faded for a $125 billion rescue of Spanish banks.
- On Tuesday, the Dow climbed 162 after a Federal Reserve official said he supported more measures to stimulate the economy.
- On Thursday, the Dow gained 155, primarily because of late reports about possible coordinated action by central banks.
Energy stocks rose the most Friday. OPEC oil ministers agreed Thursday to keep their production target steady, a compromise meant in part to soothe economically troubled countries.
A pair of weak economic reports helped push Treasury prices up and yields down.
A report on U.S. factory production showed a drop in manufacturing, a key driver of economic growth. A gauge of manufacturing in New York sank to its lowest level since November.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 1.60 percent from 1.64 percent Thursday. Traders have been shifting money into the safety of the Treasury market ahead of the Greek election. That higher demand has kept yields near all-time lows.
Among stocks making big moves:
- Microsoft rose 68 cents, or 2.3 percent, to $30.02 following reports that the company is in talks to buy Yammer, a developer of social networks within companies.
- Capital One Financial rose 80 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $53.81 after the company said uncollectable and delinquent loans at its credit card business dropped last month.
- Defense contractor AAR plunged $1.23, or 10.6 percent, to $10.34. The company updated its forecast for fourth-quarter and fiscal-year earnings, and they were weaker than Wall Street expected.
- YPF, Argentina's state-controlled oil and gas producer, rose 72 cents, or 6.9 percent, to $11.17 after Mexican telecommunications billionaire Carlos Slim said he had acquired an 8.4 percent stake in the company.
Money can't buy their love - The Age
Illustration: Kerrie Leishman
When it comes to an ungrateful electorate, the proof of the pudding is in the bleating, writes Peter Hartcher.
It was framed as a question to the Prime Minister, but really it was the first of three consecutive demands from voters, all quite similar, that Julia Gillard faced live on national television:
"Why is it that the middle class of Australia, the backbone of the economy, always suffer under a Labor government?" demanded Rebecca Broughton when she had her chance to speak directly to Gillard on Monday night's Q & A program on ABC TV.
"Why does your government penalise hard-working middle-class Australians with a new carbon tax as well as taking away or reducing private healthcare subsidies?"
Next was Pamela Tarn of Toowoomba, who said she was a single mother earning $20,000 to $30,000. Her daughter was at university in the city, where the government payment of a youth allowance "barely covered" her rent: "I am on no government benefits. How am I better off on your carbon tax rebate?"
Then a man asking: "The assistance packages that are coming through, how can you guarantee that those are actually going to go to where they are supposed to? For example, electricity, because people get bills in different intervals of time."
The carbon tax was a specific point for all three questioners. But, in essence, all sounded as though they were asking Gillard the same question: "Where's my government handout?"
These voters were accusing the Prime Minister of not giving them enough money, or of taking away an existing benefit, or perhaps imperfectly delivering a new benefit. Gillard's carbon tax "sorry" payments are feeding an ugly new flush of an established Australian distemper, a mindset of entitlement.
Even allowing for the fact that Broughton's question sounded like it had been drafted by the Liberal Party secretariat, the ganging-up on Gillard was nonetheless a stark illustration of the entitlementism that seems to grip the Australian electorate ever more tightly.
It was remarkable for the brazenness and the utter shamelessness of the demands on the national Treasury. These voters were not complaining in the angry anonymity of talkback radio or political blogs but directly to the Prime Minister on national TV.
There was no apparent unease at the thought that they were demanding something that would have to be paid for by the labour of others. How should a national leader answer the voters clamouring for their "entitlements"?
Perhaps start by explaining that it's the role of the state to create opportunities for work and wealth, to supply essential public services, and to provide a social safety net to catch the most vulnerable.
But to explain that it's not the role of the state to promise federal handouts to anyone who thinks they have a gripe, or to give out cash to create equality of handouts for all.
And to explain what happens in countries where the sense of entitlement gets out of control. That should be easy today - just point to the crisis-struck countries of southern Europe: Greece, Spain and Italy.
But, of course, Gillard said none of the things that a national leader might say. Instead, she tried to soothe the voters, to mollify them, and to assure them that they're being well taken care of.
Australian entitlementism was already becoming a problem, and it's now the tiger that Gillard is riding and dare not dismount.
"This has been going on for a long time now," says Rebecca Huntley, a director of Ipsos Mackay Research, which probes the attitudes and opinions of the electorate. "Australians always think the government should be doing more for them."
So much for rugged Australian individualism, the pioneer ethos and the spirit of Anzac that our leaders love to tell us about inbetween handouts.
"As much as we complain about pollies," says Huntley, "we still think government is central to making our lives work," and not just by providing clean drinking water, public education and safe streets: "For instance, our desire to live in urban mansions." Apparently it's the government's job to make sure we can all have one, and we're cranky if we can't.
"Very rarely do people talk about community-based solutions or personal solutions - it's almost an afterthought."
Measured as a share of Australia's economy, the public sector is still of manageable proportions in Australia and public debt is one of the smallest in the developed world.
But measured by the people's casual acquaintance with and expectations of the system of government benefits, it's another experience altogether.
Asked whether they or their partner had received any one of six government benefits in the last five years, seven out of 10 Australians said yes, according to a poll of 2001 people conducted by the Australian National University last year.
"To me, that's huge," says the ANU professor of political science who supervised the poll, Ian McAllister. "Where once government services acted as a social safety net and were targeted at relatively small minorities of citizens with particular needs, the tendency has been to provide services to a wider population base."
Forty-six per cent of respondents said they'd received one benefit from the government, and 21 per cent said they'd received two.
Or put the other way, only 27 per cent said they or their partner had not received any of the benefits.
Most Australians were brought up on the story of the Magic Pudding, Norman Lindsay's tale of an inexhaustible supply of delicious pie, replenished by magic.
Just turn the pudding, and the flavour changes, steak one moment, steak and kidney the next, apple dumpling the next. The private health insurance rebate was received by 44 per cent of respondents or their partners, family tax benefit A and B by 26 per cent, the age pension by 13 per cent, the childcare benefit by 11 per cent, and the unemployment benefit and the disability pension by 7 per cent each.
Taking these benefits, and the many other public goods supplied by the state such as public hospitals, public airwaves, and public sanitation, yet still expecting more, shows a failure of political management of voter expectations. And, of course, voters make the contradictory demand that governments live within their means and keep interest rates low.
Somewhere along the way, many seem to have lost sight of the fact that the magic pudding was a fairytale. Australians seem to have taken it as a principle of fiscal management.
And now the household handouts announced in last month's budget, the $5 billion carbon tax apology. This ad hoc blurt of money is over and above the structured, four-year, $15 billion carbon tax compensation package.
"From our qualitative research, my feeling is that governments get far less political capital from this kind of chunks of cash than they think they do," says Huntley. The anger and resentment on display on Q & A seemed to illustrate just this sort of backfiring. If Gillard expected any gratitude, there was none on display.
"Because the TV ads for the household assistance payments weren't upfront about their purpose, completely disconnected from the carbon tax, they were confusing. And then people Googled them on their phones, which we know they do. And then they get the feeling you're embarrassed by your policy.
"Once you start bolting on payments to a policy, the policy itself is seen as a failure. I think the whole psychology of it fails."
A Liberal backbencher and former adviser to John Howard on industrial relations, Jamie Briggs, pounced on the latest part of the Gillard payoff plan yesterday: "Like a Nigerian hoax email, Julia Gillard has hit Twitter and letter boxes with her promise #CASHFORYOU," using the # notifier of a topic title on Twitter.
"Like her Nigerian counterparts, there's a catch with this #cashforyou, the catch is the #cashforyou is borrowed money. The #cashforyou means #debtforyourkids."
He's right, of course, that in the long run there is no such thing as "free money" from the government. One way or another - through our taxes, through reduced government investment in vital services and infrastructure, or through government debt for which we and our kids are ultimately liable - we are ultimately paying for it ourselves.
Joe Hockey said in his speech in London in April that the European debt crisis was the result of "a chronic failure of the democratic process". The crisis showed that the Era of Entitlement was over, Hockey said.
"The entitlements bestowed on tens of millions of people by successive governments, fuelled by short-term electoral cycles and the politics of outbidding your opponents is, in essence, undermining our ability to ensure democracy, fair representation and economic sustainability for future generations."
Hockey, like Briggs, is quite right. They should know. Both were part of the Howard government, which took "the politics of outbidding your opponent" to new levels of extravagance. But the key lesson from Howard's experience was that it did not work.
When the electorate is sick of a government, it will vote it out of power regardless of how much cash it hands out. Their comments suggest that Briggs and Hockey have learnt this lesson. But the Gillard government, evidently, has not. Bribing voters is neither necessary nor sufficient to winning power.
Rudd demonstrated this at the 2007 election when he made fiscal restraint, not extravagance, a virtue.
"This sort of reckless spending has to stop!" Rudd exclaimed as he deliberately underbid Howard.
Gillard failed to learn the lesson. Labor, it seems, is fated to learn it all over again. Voters will take the money, Prime Minister, but they will not respect you for it. You saw that firsthand on Monday. The electoral gratitude you court is a figment of your political imagination. The cost to the national Treasury is not.
Peter Hartcher is the political editor.
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